Dotabuff Fantasy Guide: Main Event Day 2
Some very unexpected stomps and some heart-breaking losses later, we are now in Day 2 of the main event. Four teams have already left the tournament, but the most interesting part is only starting.
Core
The big takeaway from the group stage was that it is not the dominating team that scores the most. It is the team that plays long, gruelling matches with tons of kills where it can either way up until the very end. With that in mind, it is absolutely impossible to ignore Raven. Fnatic are playing Team Spirit tomorrow and they did lose 0-2 against them during the group stage, but neither of the games was a stomp.
Second pick is between Sumail, who underperformed on the first day of playoffs and Ame, who is a great, consistent fantasy pick. We don’t expect Quincy Crew vs. OG or PSG.LGD vs. T1 to be stomps, so we are going with the highest average in Sumail.
Support
DJ is a pick as obvious as Raven, when it comes to cores. There is very little to discuss: great average, evenly matched opponents means some sweet SEA fantasy goodness.
For similar reasons our pick number two is Whitemon. Sure, T1 are playing PSG.LGD tomorrow and sure, most people don’t expect them to win, but T1 keeps putting up a fight against every single opponent, holding one of the highest game length averages.
If, however, you want to bet on a game that is most likely to go full three maps, go with Dy. He isn’t an explosive, overperforming support like YapzOr and DJ are, but he is consistent and reliable. Slot him in instead of Whitemon if you think T1 vs. PSG.LGD is going to be a stomp.
Mid
This one is probably the hardest to predict. On one hand we have Karl who is an absolute beast. On the other hand, there is NothingToSay with a ~20% lower average but who can absolutely explode tomorrow against Karl and shut him down completely.
Mid is possibly the most match outcome-sensitive role in the game, so if you want to hedge your bets, go with a good, consistent Ori. Ori has a ~15% less average than Karl, but their match against VP is very unlikely to end up a stomp.
fanatic and OG have only one game while we have PSG LGD,VP and VG with two games why not pick from them?
I don't think second round lower bracket are Bo1. No games at the International should be a Bo1 to be honest and it is probably the only thing in dota worse than neutral items
Hey antani what's your prediction man? For day 2
I have slotted: Sumail - Ame - Karl - DJ - LoA so far, but nothing set in stone yet.
Raven over Ame sure has merits, Raven is the highest average core.
Karl is a no brainer, if T1 are able to take just 1 game from PSG he'll be good.
Whitemon is also a very good option for supports I just have a particularly good LoA card :D
BO1, is done, and are gone, now till finals everything is BO3, except finals which are BO5
Thanks for the prediction ;)
have 2 accounts
going with 2 little different lineups !!
they are keeping close
http://prntscr.com/1vy4nzk
GL !!!
VOLVO PLS
https://i.imgur.com/bKvuF1d.jpg
yesterday Sumail.
and today Raven
smashed us all hard
I'm out of top 100, with a sub 50 percentile day. FML